DUV-PAC Chairman’s 2008 Election Predictions Reviewed

Reviewing the accuracy of my Election Day morning predictions, Obama ended up winning 53-46% about two to two and a half points of which may have been due to widespread Democrat voter fraud perpetrated by Obama’s old ACORN group which stole at least two of four disputed US Senate elections after Election Day. I predicted a 53-45% Obama victory so I was pretty much aced this one.

He won 365 electoral votes which was one over the 338-364 range I had predicted. I predicted the GOP would lose 7-8 US Senate seats which is exactly what happened after the Democrats stole a couple more where the Republican had been leading after Election Day. Their unprecedented attempt to steal a third US Senate seat in Minnesota remains in dispute over three months after the election. I also predicted the GOP would lose 20-25 US House seats and we ended up losing 21 seats. So all in all I had a very good night in terms of my predictions even though it was heart-rending for me in terms of GOP losses across the country. I also predicted the Republican loss of both houses of Congress in 2006 for years before the fact due to President Bush's abandonment of traditional conservative principles both at home and abroad.

I still believe Obama’s attempts to move this country hard to the left gives the GOP the opportunity to make a big comeback in the 2010 election with a real chance of picking up the 40 seats it needs to retake the US House of Representatives, but not the US Senate. However, Obama’s decision to politicize the 2010 Census in order to maximize the chances for a permament Democrat majority in the House puts longterm GOP retention of the House after 2012 in serious doubt.